Well, you're partially correct but.....
The statistics show that IF a person is going to have a recurrence, then it tends to happen in the first two years. And yes, again IF a recurrence is going to occur, statistics show that 80% of them recur in the first two years. After that, stats show that another 10% occur between year 2-3 with another 5% occurring in year 4 with the remainder being insignificant. That does not, however, correlate with or to survival statistics - they are two entirely different things and must be kept separate.
In addition, a big hurdle with all these statistics is this. Generally, the survival statistics 'clock' starts ticking from the date of the FIRST treatment - be that surgery, radiation or chemotherapy. The recurrence 'clock' starts ticking from the date of the LAST treatment. Again, two different statistics with different parameters.
Dx 6/22/2006 IIA rectal cancer
6 wks rad/Xeloda -finished 9/06
1st attempt transanal excision 11/06
11/17/06 XELOX 1 cycle
5 months Xeloda only Dec '06 - April '07
10+ blood clots, 1 DVT 1/07
transanal excision 4/20/07 path-NO CANCER CELLS!
NED now and forever!
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